RAIN Project

Presentations from RAIN Consortium

In this page the list of presentations given by partners at several events (seminars, workshops, fairs) have been collected.
Every document is available to be downloaded.

From RAIN Final Event

Extreme weather events and infrastructures: assessing the impacts, mitigating the consequence

An overview of RAIN project – Alan O’Connor, coordinator of RAIN project (TCD)
Establishing and Modelling the Exceedance of Severe Weather Thresholds: Today and Considering Climate Change – Pieter Groenemeijer (European Severe Storms Laboratory)
A Risk Assessment Tool for Assessing the Vulnerability of Electrical and Telecommunication Infrastructures to Extreme Weather Events – Xavier Clotet (Aplicaciones en Informática Avanzada, S.L.)
Assessing Societal Vulnerability to the Failure of Critical Land Transport Infrastructure during Extreme Weather Events – Maria Luskova & Michal Titko (The University of Žilina)
Decision Support Tools for Infrastructures’ Owners and Operators. Improving Resilience in the face of Extreme Weather Events – Peter Prak (PSJ Project) & Chiara Bianchizza (Istituto di Sociologia Internazionale di Gorizia)
Application of a Risk-Based Decision Making Framework for Critical Infrastructure Exposed to Extreme Weather Events – Julie Clarke (Roughan & O’Donovan Innovative Solutions)
Crisis Coordination and Response Planning under Extreme Weather Events. A Finnish Case Study – Timo Hellenberg (Hellenberg International)
Technical Solutions for Risk Mitigation – Kenneth Gavin (TU Delft)
The National Road Network – Implementing a Strategy for Adapting to Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change – Current Status and Future Challenges – Billy O’Keeffe (Transport Infrastructure Ireland) – INTACT Project

From RAIN Workshops

Critical infrastructure safety in context of climate change

An overview of RAIN project – Alan O’Connor, coordator of RAIN Project
Energy and Telecom Infrastructure safety in the contect of climate change – Xavier Clotet, Milenko Halat (Aplicaciones en Informática Avanzada S.L.)
A framework for critical infrastructure safety – Noël van Erp, Pieter van Gelder (Delft University of Technology)
Quantification of multi-mode risks and impacts – Ciarán Carey (Roughan & O’ Donovan Innovative Solutions)
ORT-application for the vulnerability index – Peter Prak (PSJ)
Self assessment tools as means of decision-support system – Chiara Bianchizza (Istituto di Sociologia Internazionale di Gorizia)
Heavy rainfall event in Žilina region, Slovakia, in 2014 and its impacts on infrastructure and society – Michal Titko (University of Žilina)
Flooding in the Gulf of Finland (January 2005) – Timo Hellenberg (Hellenberg International Oy)
Stress Tests for Critical Infrastructures against Natural Hazards – Wim Courage (Strest Project)

Climate change and weather modelling

An overview of RAIN project – Alan O’Connor, coordinator of RAIN project
Weather extremes in Ireland: recent examples and influence of climate change – Ray Mc Grath (Met Eireann – The Irish Meteorological Service)
Changes in severe winter events and forest fire danger in Europe with implication for critical infrastructure – Andrea Vajda (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Heavy precipitation in Europe – Katrin Nissen (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Extreme river discharges and storm surges in Europe – Dominik Paprotny (Delft University of Technology)
A detailed review of severe weather warning systems in Europe – Alois M. Holzer (European Europe Severe Storms Laboratory)
Predictability of European windstorms – Nico Becker (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Modelling severe thunderstorm risk in Europe – Tomas Pucik (European Severe Storms Laboratory)
Assessing the impact of extreme weather events for single mode failures – Donya Hajializadeh (Roughan & O’Donovan Innovative Solutions)

Hazardous past weather events

Windstorms by Nico Becker
The case of Tous Dam by Dragados
Hazard Identification by Pieter Groenemeijer
Risk Assessment of Interconnected Infrastructure Systems by Bas Jonkman
Natural Hazard Management by Günther Kundela
Assessment of flood hazard on European scale: concepts and methods – Dominik Paprotny (Delft University of Technology)
High Impact Weather Warning Procedures and Assessment by Ilkka Juga & Pertti Nurmi
Impacts of severe winter weather events on critical infrastructure – Andrea Vajda (Finnish Meteorological Institute)

From external event

Future changes of severe thunderstorm frequency in Europe – Tomas Pucik (European Severe Storms Laboratory)
Future changes in severe thunderstorm environments in Europe – Tomáš Púčik, Pieter Groenemeijer, Lars Tijssen, Anja T. Rädler (European Severe Storms Laboratory)
Translating climate projections into sectoral applications for the Arctic region – Andrea Vajda and Hilppa Gregow (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Identifying the freezing rain events in European gridded climate datasets – Matti Kämäräinen, Kirsti Jylhä, Andrea Vajda, Otto Hyvärinen, Hilppa Gregow, Pauli Jokinen, and Seppo Saku (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Assessment of impact indicators for extreme winter phenomena considering critical infrastructure (CI) – Andrea Vajda, Ilkka Juga, Matti Kämäräinen, Ilari Lehtonen and Hilppa Gregow (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Future projections of freezing rain climatology in Europe – Matti Kämäräinen, Andrea Vajda, Otto Hyvärinen, Ilari Lehtonen, and Kirsti Jylhä (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
Projected climate change in severe freezing rain events – Matti Kämäräinen (Finnish Meteorological Institute)
A storm severity index based on return levels of wind speeds – Nico Becker, Katrin M. Nissen, Uwe Ulbrich (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Reliability of windstorm predictions in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system – Nico Becker, Uwe Ulbrich (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Extreme value statistics of wind speeds in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations -Nico Becker (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Event based climatology of extreme precipitation in Europe – Katrin M. Nissen, Nico Becker, Uwe Ulbrich (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Will climate change increase the risk for critical infrastructure failures in Europe due to extreme precipitation? – Katrin M. Nissen, Uwe Ulbrich (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
Infrastructure-threatening heavy precipitation in the Mediterranean region under climate change conditions – Katrin M. Nissen, Uwe Ulbrich (Institut für Meteorologie, FUB)
SE3/AM2: Severe weather impacts for the European society in the past, present and future – Chiara Bianchizza (Istituto di Sociologia Internazionale di Gorizia)
Dynamic Restricted Equilibrium Model to Determine Statistically the Resilience of a Traffic Network to Extreme Weather Events – Maria Nogal, Beatriz Martinez-Pastor, Alan O’Connor, Brian Caulfield (Trinity College Dublin)
Statistical tools to help the decision-making process within the risk analysis of transportation networks in response to extreme weather events. – VIII Forum on Engineering Decision Making – Decision-Making Beyond the Engineering Community. Kyoto (Japan) – Maria Nogal (Trinity College Dublin)
Results from FP7 RAIN Project relevant to impacts of climate change on structural design. – Maria Nogal (Trinity College Dublin)
Resilience: From the general to the specific – Maria Nogal (Trinity College Dublin)
The challenge of the numerical assessment of resilience – Maria Nogal (Trinity College Dublin)
Structured expert judgment for dependence modelling applied to the selection of indicators of infrastructure resilience – Maria Nogal (Trinity College Dublin)
Efficient pan-European flood hazard modelling through a combination of statistical and physical models – Dominik Paprotny, Oswaldo Morales Nápoles (Delft University of Technology)
A Bayesian Network for extreme river discharges in Europe – Dominik Paprotny, Oswaldo Morales Nápoles (Delft University of Technology)
Extreme sea levels under present and future climate: a pan-European database – Dominik Paprotny, Oswaldo Morales Nápoles (Delft University of Technology)
Coastal & Riverine Flood Hazard in Finland in the European Context – Dominik Paprotny (Delft University of Technology)
RAIN Project: Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Networks in response to extreme weather – Maria Luskova (University of Žilina)
Case study WP3 – Impacts of river floods on road and rail critical infrastructure
in North – West Slovakia – Zdeněk Dvořák (University of Žilina)
Identification of Potential Critical Land Transport Infrastructure Elements – Maria Luskova (University of Žilina)

Scientific Publications

Atmospheric conditions inducing extreme precipitation over the eastern and western Mediterranean -U. Dayan, K. Nissen and U. Ulbrich -Natural Hazards Earth System Sciences, 15, 2525–2544, 2015.
Will climate change increase the risk of infrastructure failures in Europe due to heavy precipitation? -K. M. Nissen and U. Ulbrich -Natural Hazards Earth System Sciences Discuss., doi:10.5194/nhess-2016-337, 2016.
A Bayesian Network for extreme river discharges in Europe – Paprotny, D., Morales Nápoles, O. (2015) A Bayesian Network for extreme river discharges in Europe. In: Podofillini, L., Sudret, B., Stojadinović, B., Zio, E. and Kröger, W. (Eds.) Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems, CRC Press/Balkema, 4303-4311, doi: 10.1201/b19094-564.
Extreme sea levels under present and future climate: a pan-European database – Paprotny D., Morales-Nápoles O. & Nikulin G. (2016) Extreme sea levels under present and future climate: a pan-European database. E3S Web of Conferences, 7, 02001.
Efficient pan-European river flood hazard modelling through a combination of statistical and physical models – Paprotny D., Morales-Nápoles O. & Jonkman S. N. (2017) – Natural Hazards Earth System Sciences, in review, doi:10.5194/nhess-2017-4.
Estimating extreme river discharges in Europe through a Bayesian Network, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions – Paprotny, D. and Morales Nápoles, O. (2016) – in review, doi:10.5194/hess-2016-250.
Bayesian decision theory: A simple toy problem – H. R. N. van Erp, R. O. Linger, and P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder. AIP Conference Proceedings 1757 (http://doi.org/10.1063/1.4959057), 2016.
An outline of the Bayesian decision theory – H. R. N. van Erp, R. O. Linger, and P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder. AIP Conference Proceedings 1757 (http://doi.org/10.1063/1.4959057), 2016.
Assessment of impact indicators for extreme winter phenomena considering critical infrastructure – Vajda A., Juga I., Kämäräinen M., Lehtonen I. and Gregow H. – 15th EMS / 12th ECAM, Sofia, Bulgaria, 2015; EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts Vol. 12, EMS2015-388
Identifying the freezing rain events in European gridded climate datasets – Kämäräinen M., Jylhä K., Vajda A., Hyvärinen O., Gregow H., Jokinen P., Saku S. – 15th EMS / 12th ECAM, Sofia, Bulgaria, 2015; EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts Vol. 12.
Probabilities of hazardous snow-related weather events in the present and projected future climate of Europe – Lehtonen I, Kämäräinen M, Vajda A, Gregow H. – EMS/ECAC Annual Meeting Abstract, Trieste, Italy, 2016.
Future projections of freezing rain climatology in Europe – Kämäräinen M, Vajda A, Hyvärinen O, Lehtonen I, Jylhä K. – EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts, Vol. 13, EMS2016-399-1, 2016, 16th EMS / 11th ECAC.
Translating climate projections into sectoral applications for the Arctic region – Vajda A. and Gregow H.-, Copernicus Climate Projections Workshop, 20-21 Apr 2015, Reading.
Some aspects of recent weather forecasting procedures at the Finnish Meteorological Institute – Juga I. – UEF2015 (Using ECMWF Forecasts) Workshop, Reading, UK 8-10 June 2015
Climatology of heavy crown snow loads in the present and projected future climate of Finland – Lehtonen I, Venäläinen A, Hoppula P, Kämäräinen M, Gregow H. -15th EMS / 12th ECAM, Sofia, Bulgaria, 2015; EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts Vol. 12.
Climate Services for Adaptation: background and current activities. 30th Nordic Meteorological Meeting (NMM30) – Jylhä, K. 2016 – 22-24 August 2016, Stockholm University, Sweden. Oral presentation.
Extremes and their impacts on vulnerable sectors, ECRA General Assembly 2017 – Gregow H., 2017 – ECRA General Assembly 2017, 8 March 2017, Brussels
A method to estimate freezing rain climatology from ERA-Interim reanalysis over Europe – Kämäräinen M, Hyvärinen O, Jylhä K, Vajda A, Neiglick S, Nuottokari J, Gregow H (2017) – Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 243-259, doi:10.5194/nhess-17-243-2017
Resilience of traffic networks: From perturbation to recovery via a dynamic restricted equilibrium model – Nogal, Maria, Alan O’Connor, Brian Caulfield, and Beatriz Martinez-Pastor – Reliability Engineering & System Safety 156 (2016): 84-96.
Dynamic restricted equilibrium model to assess the traffic network resilience: from the perturbation to the recovery – Nogal, M.; O’Connor, A.; Caulfield, B. and Martinez-Pastor, B. Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, Submitted (2014).
Evaluation of Resilience in Traffic Networks: Models and Characteristics – Martinez-Pastor, B., Nogal, M., O’Connor, A. and Caulfield, B., (2015), ITRN 2015, Galway, Ireland.
A multidisciplinary approach for risk analysis of infrastructure networks in response to extreme weather – Maria Nogal, Alan O’Connor, Brian Caulfield, William Brazil.
Novel Probabilistic Resilience Assessment Framework of Transportation Networks against Extreme Weather Events – Nogal, M., O’Connor, A., Martinez-Pastor, B. and Caulfield, B., 2017. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, p.04017003
Understanding the vulnerability of traffic networks by means of structured expert judgment elicitation. – Nogal, M.; Morales-Napoles O. and O’Connor, A. Proceedings of the Irish Transport Research Network Sept. 2016, Dublin (Ireland).
Bi-phase methodology for sensitivity analysis of complex models, applied to the model of evaluating resilience in transport networks. – Martinez-Pastor, B.; Nogal, M. and O’Connor, A.Proceedings of the Civil Engineering Research in Ireland conferenceAug. 2016, Galway (Ireland)
Evaluation of resilience in traffic networks. Models and characteristics – Martinez-Pastor, B.; Nogal, M.; O’Connor, A. and Caulfield, B. Proceedings of the Irish Transport Research Network Conference, Aug. 2015, Galway (Ireland).
Weather and Rail Delays: Analysis of Metropolitan Rail in Dublin – Brazil, W.; Nogal, M.; White, A.; Caulfield, B.; O’Connor, A. and Morton C. Journal of Transport Geography, vol. 59 pp. 69-76 (2017)
The role of transport information in extreme weather events: A scenario based experiment – Brazil, W.; Caulfield, B. and O’Connor, A. Transport Policy (2017)
An additive regression convective hazard model (ARCHaMo) for detecting past and future trends in severe weather events – Rädler, A.T., P. Groenemeijer, E. Faust and R. Sausen, 2017: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, (Submitted).
Severe Convective Storms in Europe: Ten Years of Research and Education at the European Severe Storms Laboratory – Pieter Groenemeijer, Tomáš Púčik, Alois M. Holzer, Bogdan Antonescu, Kathrin Riemann-Campe, David M. Schultz, Thilo Kühne, Bernold Feuerstein, Harold E. Brooks, Charles A. Doswell III, Hans-Joachim Koppert and Robert Sausen, 2017: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, (Submitted).
Future changes in European severe convection environments in a regional climate model ensemble – Tomáš Púčik, Pieter Groenemeijer, Anja T. Rädler, Lars Tijssen, Grigory Nikulin, Andreas F. Prein, Erik van Meijgaard, Rowan Fealy, Claas Teichmann and Daniela Jacob: Journal of Climate, (Submitted).
Quantification of impacts on the transport serviceability at the loss of functionality of significant road infrastructure objects – Bohus Leitner, Maria Luskova, Alan O’Connor and Pieter van Gelder, Communications : Scientific letters of the University of Žilina. – ISSN 1335-4205. – Vol. 17, no. 1 (2015), s. 52-60.
Use of network analysis in conditions of critical infrastructure risk management – Eva Sventekova and Maria Luskova and Zdenek Dvorak. In: WMSCI 2016 : the 20th world multi-conference on systemics, cybernetics and informatics : July 5-8, 2016 – Orlando, Florida, USA : proceedings. Vol. II. – [S.l.]: International Institute of Informatics and Systemics, 2016. – ISBN 978-1-941763-43-8. – p. 247-250.
Multilevel approach to measuring vulnerability due to failure of critical land transport infrastructure – Maria Luskova, Michal Titko, Bohuš Leitner. In: WMSCI 2016 : the 20th world multi-conference on systemics, cybernetics and informatics : July 5-8, 2016 – Orlando, Florida, USA : proceedings. Vol. II. – [S.l.]: International Institute of Informatics and Systemics, 2016. – ISBN 978-1-941763-43-8. – p. 224
Assessment of risks related to the states of crisis with influence on the funcionality of critical infrastructure – M. Titko, M. Luskova. In: Transport means 2016 : proceedings of the 20th international scientific conference : October 5-7, 2016 Juodkrante, Lithuania. – ISSN 1822-296X. – Kaunas: Kaunas University of Technology, 2016. – p. 207-212.
International emergency pool funds and their usage in disasters solving – Jan Havko, Maria Luskova, Michal Titko. In: SGEM 2016 : international multidisciplinary scientific conferences on Social sciences & arts : conference proceedings : Book 2 Political sciences, law, finance, economics & tourism : 24-30 August, 2016 Albena, Bulgaria. Vol. III: Finance. Economics and tourism. – ISSN 2367-5659. – Sofia: STEF92 Technology, 2016. – ISBN 978-619-7105-74-2. – p. 369-376.
Estimating extreme river discharges in Europe through a Bayesian Network, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions – Paprotny, D. and Morales Nápoles, O. (2016) Estimating extreme river discharges in Europe through a Bayesian Network, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, in review, doi:10.5194/hess-2016-250,
Probabilistic Analysis of Potential Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Infrastructures – O’Connor, A.J., OBrien, E.J., Hajializadeh, D.(2016), ‘ Probabilistic Analysis of Potential Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Infrastructures’, Civil Engineering Research in Ireland 2014, QUB, Belfast, Ireland
Quantifying the Impact of Critical Infrastructure Failure due to Extreme Weather Events – O’Brien, E. J., Hajializadeh, D., & Power, R. T. (2015). ‘Quantifying the impact of critical infrastructure failure due to extreme weather events’ 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP12 Vancouver, Canada
Quantification of Multi Risk Scenarios Subjected to Extreme Weather Events – Hajializadeh, D., Carey, C.H., OBrien, E.J. (2016), ‘ Quantification of Multi Risk Scenarios Subjected to Extreme Weather Events’, Civil Engineering Research in Ireland 2016, NUIG, Galway, Ireland